Purpose of the study. The main factor influencing the market for transport and logistics services in the Russian Federation in 2022 is the introduction of sanctions against the Russian Federation. As a result, consequences such as border closures, volatility in global commodity markets, and contraction in demand for goods and services have had a significant impact on the shipbuilding industry. Due to sanctions pressure and the deterioration of the technical feasibility of constructing offshore and river facilities at enterprises of the Russian Federation, the volume of potential orders has decreased. In this regard, the purpose of the study is to assess the need for the construction of cargo ships under sanctions pressure, by improving the methods of long-term forecasting.
Materials and methods. The sources of information for the calculations were official data from the Federal State Statistics Service and the Russian Classification Society; forecast values from departments and analytical agencies were also used. To forecast the volume of cargo transportation by water transport, the method of multiple correlation and regression analysis was used.
Results. The forecast of the volume of transportation of certain types of goods is calculated, taking into account the influence of key economic and political factors. Based on forecasts of the cargo base, exports, imports, construction, decommissioning of ships and the current state of the fleet, an assessment of the need for the construction of cargo ships under sanctions pressure until 2030 was carried out. Calculations of the need for water transport were carried out within the framework of two forecast models – optimistic and pessimistic scenarios. The optimistic one provides for further updating of vessels according to the current trend (emphasis is placed on repairs; it is assumed that only 1-2% of watercrafts will be taken out of service). The pessimistic option implies a large-scale replacement of the old cargo fleet by 2030 (with the decommissioning of all ships that have become unusable). By 2030, the demand for marine vessels will range from 452 units to 1307 units, depending on market conditions. The demand for river and river-sea vessels will range from 1433 units to 6485 units. The results of the study showed that the need for vessels stated in the Strategy is insufficient to meet the needs of the water market.
Conclusion. This approach can be used when updating the development Strategy of the shipbuilding industry.

Subject. Reduction of fire safety threats based on the development of an economic and statistical unit as part of the fire monitoring system in the administrative-territorial entities of the Russian Federation, which allows for statistical processing of information on the economic consequences of fires.
Purposes. Adaptation and application of economic and statistical methods to identify trends in the number of fires and the material damage they cause to the regional economy, as well as determining fire risk indexes on this basis, identifying the interrelationships of the levels of development of the regional economy by the number of fires and their negative impact on the economy.
Methodology. In the applied aspect, methods of data integration, determining averages, identifying trends, calculating risks and determining correlation dependence, as well as a graphical method are used.
Results. The identification of bodies of interest at various levels of state management of the socio-economic development of Russia and its regions of economic and statistical information on fire safety issues has been carried out. Data on the number and material damage from fires in the regions of the Southern Federal District (SFD) of Russia for the period 2016-2022 were integrated and trends in these indexes were determined. Fire risks are calculated and these regions are ranked according to the degree of danger. The dependence of the number and severity of economic consequences from fires on the level of economic potential of the studied regions of the Southern Federal District has been revealed.
Conclusions. The results of the conducted research can be used to create a specialized economic and statistical unit as part of fire monitoring by the Fire Safety Service and The Ministry of the Russian Federation for Civil Defence, Emergencies and Elimination of Consequences of Natural Disasters (Emercom of Russia), as well as the country’s Emergency Commissions (regional and federal levels). The calculated data obtained can be used to assess the fire safety levels of the studied regions and the Southern Federal District as a whole, which will allow solving a range of issues related to the management of these regions and the development of programs for their socio-economic development.

Purpose of the study. One of the most important functions of the Russian banking sector is the accumulation of temporarily free funds of the population for further active operations, including lending to legal entities and individuals. The volume of deposits of individuals is influenced by various factors, the main ones being indexes of the standard of living of the population, which vary significantly in the regions of the country. In the context of significant differences in the spatial development of regions, it is advisable to carry out a statistical analysis of the influence of the main indexes of the standard of living of the population on the volume of funds attracted by credit institutions from the population in the regions of the Russian Federation. The purpose of this study is a statistical analysis of the dynamics and structure of household deposits, as well as an assessment of the impact of the main indexes of the population’s standard of living on the volume of household funds attracted by credit institutions.
Research methods and sources of information. The following statistical tools were used: structural and dynamic analysis, cluster analysis, correlation and regression analysis, as well as tabular and graphical methods for presenting research results. The information base is the official statistical data of the Federal State Statistics Service (Rosstat) and the Central Bank of Russia
Research results. The analysis of the dynamics of the volume of deposits of individuals showed an increase in the volume of private deposits in rubles with a significant reduction in deposits in foreign currency in all federal districts of the country. As a result of studying the regional structure of deposits of individuals in credit institutions, three federal districts can be identified, the share of which is 73,5% in the total volume of private deposits in the country. The use of the cluster analysis method made it possible to identify three groups of regions. The first cluster included three subjects that are characterized by the highest values of the volume of deposits per capita. The second cluster consisted of 66 regions of the country in which the level of development of savings remains low. In 13 subjects included in the third cluster, there is an average level of depositing funds in credit institutions of the country. The use of the method of correlation and regression analysis made it possible to identify the most significant impact on the volume of private deposits per capita of the average per capita monetary income of the population, i.e. a high level of cash income will contribute to an increase in the volume of citizen deposits attracted by credit institutions, as well as a moderate direct impact of the level of employment of the population. In addition, in certain groups of regions, the degree of influence of factor characteristics on the volume of private deposits per capita varies.

Purpose of the study. The article presents the results of a statistical analysis of the nutritional characteristics of the population of the Republic of Mordovia to assess their eating behavior in accordance with the principles of healthy nutrition.
The results of the study showed inconsistency with rational standards of consumption of basic food products by the population of the republic. The most pronounced deficit in the diet of the population of the republic is observed in the consumption of vegetables and melons, milk and dairy products and vegetable oil. Significant excess of the recommended norm is typical for the consumption of sugar, bread products, potatoes, meat, meat products and eggs. A reduction in the food energy value of the daily diet was revealed to 2600 kcal versus 3126 kcal according to rational consumption standards.
Materials and methods. As a methodological basis for the study, an aggregation method was used, which makes it possible to calculate indexes of the benefits of consumption of basic food products by the population of the Volga Federal District regions: advance, parity and lag from recommended rational consumption standards. The calculation of the integral assessment of the nutrition quality of the population was carried out without taking into account the weighting coefficients of the main food groups.
The information base of the study is data from the Federal State Statistics Service. The results of the study confirm the existence of differentiation in food consumption and its quality in the regions of the Volga Federal District. Not a single region has been identified with parity in terms of recommended rational nutritional standards. In two regions (Udmurt and Chuvash Republics), there is an approximation to rational consumption standards. In four regions of the Volga Federal District (Perm Krai, Penza, Saratov and Ulyanovsk regions) consumption lags behind the recommended rational norms. In other regions, there is an excess of rational consumption standards for most food products. This group of regions includes the republics of Bashkortostan, Mari El, Mordovia, Tatarstan, Kirov, Nizhny Novgorod, Orenburg and Samara regions. For the Republic of Mordovia, the value of the integral assessment was 1,052.
Conclusions. The need to continue activities to develop healthy lifestyle priorities among the population through a culture of nutrition, as laid down in the Federal Project “Strengthening Public Health” was noted.

Purpose of the study. The purpose of this paper is to analyze the development of the economy of the Republic of Uzbekistan in the context of digital transformation, as well as reforms aimed at liberalizing all aspects of public life, democratizing the state and society, as well as identifying the best practices for modernizing industries and areas of the national economy to achieve the highest results of the country’s competitiveness in the world economic market.
Materials and methods. The main sources for analysis and preparation for publication of this article were official statistical data from the Statistics Agency under the President of the Republic of Uzbekistan. When writing the article, the authors used methods of statistical analysis of quantitative data, synthesis, methods of systematic generalization of the results of questionnaires and expert surveys, monographic research, methods of working with specialized software products, digital platforms and services, as well as specialized methods of searching and processing data when working with statistical reports and analytical information presented on the corporate portal of the Statistics Agency under the President of the Republic of Uzbekistan.
Results. The authors of the article studied the regulatory framework for reforming the national economy of the Republic of Uzbekistan, analyzed the digital mechanisms for implementing the strategy “Digital Uzbekistan - 2030” and, based on a thorough study of the strategic directions of economic development, revealed that the reforms being implemented, high demands and responsibility for fulfilling the set goals tasks to achieve goals are quite effective. In addition, this study showed that the applied digital solutions, such as digital platforms and digital services specially developed for the field of statistics, artificial intelligence technologies, BIGDATA, cloud computing, business analytical engines, as well as specialized software products, the ability to work with mobile devices and the use of satellite navigation to collect statistical data in the regions of the country make it possible to conduct a multidimensional analysis of business processes of economic objects of the national economy and develop optimal management decisions for the further effective development of industries and spheres of the economy of the Republic of Uzbekistan.
Conclusion. Research conducted as part of this paper shows that today, within the framework of strategies developed in the Republic of Uzbekistan for the effective development of the country’s economy, good results have been achieved. However, in certain sectors and areas of the national economy, qualitative transformations are still needed, based on the introduction of advanced methodological foundations, innovative technological and management solutions in order to increase the country’s competitiveness. It is necessary to further improve the technical and technological base of industrial and agricultural enterprises, ensure the high-quality development of human capital, improve the methods and forms of functioning of business structures in the digital economy, identify new development drivers for balanced economic growth and improving the quality of life of the country’s population.

Purpose of the study. The article scrutinizes the prerequisites for the manifestation of cointegration associations amid the fluctuations in the AZN/TL and USD/TL exchange rates during the initial half of 2023, under the circumstances characterized by the precipitous depreciation of the Turkish lira.
Materials and methods. The study employs contemporary econometric methodologies, encompassing the Johansen cointegration test, Granger causality test, vector error correction, and other pertinent approaches.
Results. The research dynamically scrutinizes the underlying causes of the Turkish lira’s devaluation, its impact on the economy of the Republic of Azerbaijan, and its influence on the AZN/TL exchange rate. A cointegration model of reciprocal influence was established through the accurate application of econometric tests. The imbalance recovery coefficient was found to be -0.933745, ensuring that the trajectory reverts to its original state in the subsequent moment after deviating from the equilibrium state. In the case of USD/TL the first order differences, this coefficient is -0.242442, albeit statistically insignificant. The interpretation of the established model indicates that the depreciation of the Turkish lira against the dollar does not exert a significant impact on the fluctuations in the AZN/TL exchange rate.
Conclusion. The findings of the research indicate that while the USD/TL does exert an influence on the AZN/TL, the devaluation of the Turkish lira does not significantly impact the economy of the Republic of Azerbaijan.

The article proposes a method for assessing the bilateral relationships between catastrophe and sovereign bonds to analyze financial risks within the framework of China’s global infrastructure initiative “Belt and Road”. Countries included in the China - EU land transport corridor have a high risk of natural disasters, which could negatively affect the infrastructure being created and local communities. Investments in infrastructure projects by China are often made subject to sovereign guarantees from partner countries. In case of natural disasters, the traditional use of state reserve funds is not always effective, since the insurance markets of the countries of the China - EU land transport corridor are dominated by protectionism, the indicator of which is the low level of import of insurance services. As a more effective tool for covering losses in the event of catastrophic threats to the infrastructure of the China - EU transport corridor, one can consider insurance derivatives (Insurance Linked Securities - ILS) and sovereign parametric catastrophe bonds, in particular. The article analyzes the relationship between catastrophe and sovereign bonds of a number of countries (China, Kazakhstan, Russia, Turkey). Based on the results of testing the hypothesis (H1), the dependence of the interest rate on sovereign bonds of Kazakhstan, China, Russia and Turkey on the interest rates on catastrophic bonds of the Swiss Re Cat Bonds Index was established. A complete inverse relationship between catastrophe bond rates and sovereign bond rates, in accordance with hypothesis (H2), was not revealed.