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MODELING CYCLES IN ECONOMETRIC MODELS

https://doi.org/10.21686/2500-3925-2015-1-176-178

Abstract

The paper describes the author’s algorithm for finding the cyclical components.All time series consist of 4 components,namely trend, seasonal, cyclic and residual component. In the domestic literaturedescribes only to find the trend, seasonal and residual components. And findingcyclic components is similar to findingseasonal. The author believes that the algorithm for finding the seasonal andcyclical cannot be the same.

About the Authors

Anatoly B. Yusov
Russian Academy of national economy and state service under the Presidentof the Russian Federation
Russian Federation


Antonina A. Kasatkina
Russian Academy of national economy and state service under the Presidentof the Russian Federation
Russian Federation


References

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2. Эконометрика: Учебник/Под. ред. И.И. Елисеевой. - М.: Финансы и статистика, 2002. - 344 с

3. ПорталРосстат. URL:www.gks.ru

4. Orlov I.V., Polovnikov V.A. Economic-mathematical methods and models: computer simulation: Textbook. - 2-e izd., ispr. i dop. - M.: Vuzovskij uchebnik: INFRA-M, 2010. - 366 s

5. Econometrics: Textbook/ Pod. red. I.I. Eliseevoj. - M.: Finansy i statistika, 2002. - 344 s

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Review

For citations:


Yusov A.B., Kasatkina A.A. MODELING CYCLES IN ECONOMETRIC MODELS. Statistics and Economics. 2015;(1):176-178. (In Russ.) https://doi.org/10.21686/2500-3925-2015-1-176-178

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ISSN 2500-3925 (Print)