Mortgage lending targets of housing policy in Russia
https://doi.org/10.21686/2500-3925-2018-2-80-88
Abstract
The regular socio-economic monitoring studies are really essential
with the purpose of development of an effective system for housing development sector support at the state level and of account of the diversity of factors, which impact the change of housing conditions of population. With this purpose, the authors performed benchmarking statistical analysis of the state and trends in the development of housing construction and housing provision in various regions of Russia, taking into account the availability of housing and the degree of tension in the housing and social sphere, as well as the opportunities, which are provided for the population to settle the housing issue through property lending The economic crisis could not relieve the "housing problem" for Russians, but only gave rise to housing deferred demand. Therefore, the researches are still timely of the housing policy development directions and of the solution of the housing problems, as well as of the housing lending system. In addition to solving the population housing affordability problem, the intensification of property lending policy directly affects the of new housing supply index of various degree of conventions. This is achieved through engaging of significant amounts of money by the population. The subject of the research is a set of indices of the conditions and of level of development of housing construction and related property lending. The information base of the research is the official data of the Federal State Statistics Service, of the Bank of Russia, as well as the materials of scientific publications and periodicals on the subject Statistical methods for identifying the trends and the cycles, for study of economic conditions and business activity, for analysis of structural breaks, for time series forecasting, as well as the tabular and graphical methods for visual representation of data are used as the main statistical tools. In accordance with the aim, the authors set and solved the tasks as follows:
– the main features, problems and trends are specified in the development of housing constructions in the Russian Federation and its subjects;
– regional differentiation is estimated in the level of housing provision of population and in the changes in its living conditions, taking into account the impact of crisis phenomena;
– the intensity and directions are determined the of structural changes in the regional distribution of the total volume of housing;
– the groups of the Russian regions are revealed, which are differed by the main characteristics of housing conditions of the population and by the scale and activity of housing construction;
– the factors and criteria are considered of efficiency of housing property lending and a role of regional banks in this process;
– the main problems are revealed, which constrain lending development in Russia.
The results of the research are of practical importance for the Federal State Statistics Service in the course of monitoring of the state of the housing complex at the regional level, as well as for regional economic agencies in the development of programs for support and development of the housing construction sector.
About the Authors
A. N. LozovskayaRussian Federation
Cand. Sci. (Economics), Associate Professor Department of Mathematical Methods in Economics Plekhanov Russian University of Economics, Moscow, Russia Tel.: 8 (916) 611-9775
M. A. Skorik
Russian Federation
Cand. Sci. (Economics), Associate Professor Department of Mathematical Methods in Economics Plekhanov Russian University of Economics, Moscow, Russia Tel.: 8 (916) 919-30-42
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Review
For citations:
Lozovskaya A.N., Skorik M.A. Mortgage lending targets of housing policy in Russia. Statistics and Economics. 2018;15(2):80-88. (In Russ.) https://doi.org/10.21686/2500-3925-2018-2-80-88