Modern problems of evaluation of the family policy effectiveness in the Russian Federation

The article is devoted to the multifaceted and complex problems, associated with comprehensive evaluation of the effectiveness of the state family policy. A significant stage in the development of state family policy is the adoption of the concept of state family policy in 2014. Evaluation of measures’ effectiveness in the field of family policy is the subject of many publications. However, most authors pay their attention to the individual events. It appears that the effectiveness of implementation of strategic documents is defined by the detailed development of the documents, objective approach to formation of system of target indicators.

The aim of the article is the analysis of the structure of the Concept of family policy, adopted in 2014, and implementation plan of its first stage. It allows identifying whether the ineffectiveness of family policy is determined by the logic strategic documents in the field of family policy. The possibilities for monitoring the effectiveness of the action plan and the first results of the implementation of the Concept, consistency of the logic in these documents are considered.

Materials and methods. The conclusions of the article are based on the analysis of quantitative and qualitative indicators of family policy. The data of statistical monitoring of family policies based on official statistical reporting and representative sample surveys of ROSSTAT, and the experience of monitoring the National strategy of actions in interests of children served as the information base of the study.

Results. Currently, the performance evaluation is conducted formally; complexity evaluation for the implementation of the Concept of family policy is largely related to the logic of formation of the Concept and its expected results, the disadvantages of the formation of plans for its implementation, the lack of necessary information and special monitoring in the framework of the implementation of the Concept. In the framework of the Concept in accordance with the objectives, nine areas are highlighted, for which a list of indicators of the results has defined. The proposed indicators were not assigned to specific sections of the Concept. A number of them do not have specific quantitative measurements, which poses a substantial problem associated with the inability to conduct an objective assessment of the effectiveness of specific measures. The analysis of the logic of the Concept and implementation plan of its first stage showed that in many respects goals, objectives, indicators and financial support do not balance them.

Conclusions. The problem of the ineffectiveness of large-scale conceptual and strategic documents is often linked with the logic of the document, a formal approach to the formation of a system of indicators. A number of measures, provided in the Concept, are not reflected in the implementation plan. The analysis allowed formulating proposals for clarifying the mechanism of implementation and evaluation of the effectiveness of the Concept. The most important of the proposals are the definition of the desired level of performance, projecting performance indicators of family policies in view of conflicting demographic and socio-economic dynamics; the need to develop the integrated statistical indicator of the effectiveness of family policy, covering activities in all areas. 

1. Ukaz Prezidenta Rossiyskoy Federatsii ot 14 maya 1996 g. No. 712 «Ob osnovnykh napravleniyakh gosudarstvennoy semeynoy politiki» URL: http://iv.garant.ru/SESSION/PILOT/main.htm (In Russ.)

2. Ukaz Prezidenta Rossiyskoy Federatsii ot 9 oktyabrya 2007 g. No. 1351 «Ob utverzhdenii Kontseptsii demograficheskoy politiki Rossiyskoy Federatsii na period do 2025 goda» URL: http://www.consultant.ru/document/cons_doc_ LAW_165069/ (In Russ.)

3. Ukaz Prezidenta RF ot 1 iyunya 2012 g. No. 761 «O Natsional’noy strategii deystviy v interesakh detey na 2012–2017 gody». URL: http://base. garant.ru/70183566/#ixzz3QB3nN3D0 (In Russ.)

4. Rasporyazhenie Pravitel’stva Rossiyskoy Federatsii ot 17 noyabrya 2008 g. No. 1662-r «O Kontseptsii dolgosrochnogo sotsial’no-ekonomicheskogo razvitiya Rossiyskoy Federatsii na period do 2020 goda» URL: http://www.consultant.ru/ document/cons_doc_LAW_90601/ (In Russ.)

5. Rasporyazhenie Pravitel’stva RF ot 25 avgusta 2014 g. No. 1618-r «Ob utverzhdenii Kontseptsii gosudarstvennoy semeynoy politiki v Rossiyskoy Federatsii na period do 2025 goda» URL: http:// www.garant.ru/products/ipo/prime/doc/70627660/ (In Russ.)

6. Rasporyazhenie Pravitel’stva RF ot 09 aprelya 2015 No. 607-r «Ob utverzhdenii Plana meropriyatiy na 2015–2018 gody po realizatsii pervogo etapa Kontseptsii gosudarstvennoy semeynoy politiki v Rossiyskoy Federatsii na period do 2025 goda». URL: http://base.consultant.ru/cons/cgi/ online.cgi?req=doc;base=LAW;n=178052 (In Russ.)

7. Andreeva A.I., Gorshkova I.D., Kovalevskaya A.S. Rekomendatsii po otsenke sotsial’noekonomicheskoy effektivnosti sotsial’nykh programm: Opredeleniya, podkhody, prakticheskiy opyt. Moscow: Prospekt, 2014. (In Russ.)

8. Arkhangel’skiy V.N. Pomoshch’ sem’yam s det’mi v Rossii: otsenka demograficheskoy rezul’tativnosti. SOTsIS. 2015. No. 3. (In Russ.)

9. Vyborochnoe obsledovanie «Kompleksnoe nablyudenie usloviy zhizni naseleniya». URL: http:// www.gks.ru/free_doc/new_site/KOUZ14/survey0/ index.html

10. Dannye ofitsial’nogo sayta Rosstata. URL: http://www.gks.ru/wps/wcm/connect/rosstat_main/rosstat/ru/statistics/population/motherhood/# (In Russ.)

11. Demograficheskiy prognoz do 2030 goda. Ofitsial’nyy sayt Rosstata. URL: http://www.gks.ru/ wps/wcm/connect/rosstat_main/rosstat/ru/statistics/population/demography/# (In Russ.)

12. Dmitrishina E.V., Krivelevich M.E., Litvinenko E.A. i dr. Analiz effektivnosti byudzhetnykh raskhodov na detey. Federal’nyy byudzhet i byudzhety sub’ektov Rossiyskoy Federatsii. SPERO. 2011. No.15. P. 105–144. (In Russ.)

13. Zakharov S.V. Demograficheskiy analiz effekta mer semeynoy politiki v Rossii i 1980-kh gg. SPERO. 2007. No. 5. (In Russ.)

14. Informatsiya ot 16 fevralya 2016 goda «O khode vypolneniya v 2015 godu plana meropriyatiy na 2015–2018 gody po realizatsii pervogo etapa Kontseptsii gosudarstvennoy semeynoy politiki Rossiyskoy Federatsii na period do 2025 goda, utverzhdennogo rasporyazheniem Pravitel’stva Rossiyskoy Federatsii ot 9 aprelya 2015 g. No. 607-r». URL: http://www.rosmintrud.ru/docs/mintrud/protection/281 (In Russ.)

15. Klimantova G.I. Gosudarstvennaya semeynaya politika sovremennoy Rossii. Moscow: 2004 (In Russ.)

16. Konventsiya Mezhdunarodnoy organizatsii truda o ravnom obrashchenii i ravnykh vozmozhnostyakh dlya trudyashchikhsya muzhchin i zhenshchin: trudyashchiesya s semeynymi obyazannostyami (Konventsiya 156 ot 23 iyunya 1981 goda). Ratifitsirovana Federal’nym zakonom RF ot 30 oktyabrya 1997 goda No. 137-FZ URL: http://docs. cntd.ru/document/901763236 (In Russ.)

17. Kuchmaeva O.V., Petryakova O.L. Differentsiatsiya pokazateley rozhdaemosti v Rossii: rol’ demograficheskikh i sotsial’nykh faktorov. Voprosy statistiki. 2010. No. 10. (In Russ.)

18. Obzor sotsial’noy politiki v Rossii. Nachalo 2000-kh. Moscow: NISP, 2007 (In Russ.)

19. Ovcharova L.N., Pishnyak A.I., Popova D.O. Novye mery podderzhki materinstva i detstva: rost urovnya zhizni semey s det’mi ili rost rozhdaemosti. Analiz mer podderzhki materinstva i detstva, vnedrennykh v 2007 godu v Rossiyskoy Federatsii. Moscow: NISP. YuNISEF, 2007 (In Russ.)

20. Darmodekhin S.V., Kuchmaeva O.V., Maryganova E.A., Petryakova O.L., Sinel’nikov A.B. and others. O polozhenii semey v RF. Nauchnyy doklad. Moscow: ISV RAO, 2010 (In Russ.)

21. Politika sem’i i detstva v postsotsializme. Ed. V.Shmidt, E.Yarskoy-Smirnovoy, Zh.Chernovoy. Moscow: Variant: TsSPGI, 2014 (In Russ.)

22. Sotsial’naya politika: realii KhKhI veka. Iss. 3. GP3/2007. Nezavisimyy institut sotsial’noy politiki. Moscow: NISP, 2007 (In Russ.)

23. Tyndik A.O. Obzor sovremennykh mer semeynoy politiki v stranakh s nizkoy rozhdaemost’yu. SPERO. 2010. No. 1. P. 157–177. (In Russ.)

24. Can Policies Boost Birth Rates? The OECD Policy Briefs (2007)

25. Ermisch, J. The econometric analysis of birth rate dynamics in Britain. The Journal of Human Resources. 1988. 23(4).

26. Gauthier, A. H., Hatzius, J. (1997). Family benefits and fertility: an econometric analysis. Population Studies, 51.

27. Finch, N., & Bradshaw, J. Fertility and supporting the costs of children. Paper presented at the conference. Recent fertility trends in Northern Europe. Oslo. Norway. 2003.

28. Kravdal. How the local supply of day-care centers influences fertility in Norway: A parity-specific approach. Population Research. 1996. 5 (6).