Preview

Statistics and Economics

Advanced search

On the distribution of prices in market real estate and «offset» estimations of market value

https://doi.org/10.21686/2500-3925-2016-5-3-7

Abstract

The published results of stochastic modeling and experimental studies on the distribution of prices of real estate markets, accompanied by the conclusions of a systematic overestimation of the market value of the consultants-valuers are stated in the article. Displaying the fundamental difference between the distributions of prices on different objects observed in the real estate market and the distribution of possible prices for the estimated object. The conclusion about the absence of grounds for the allegations of a systematic overestimation of the market value as a result of these differences is fixed. Formation unbiased valuations based on the properties of the distribution  of the adjusted average prices of the sample analogs are also explained.

About the Authors

N. P. Barinov
«AVERS» Ltd, St. Petersburg, Russia
Russian Federation

Candidate of Engineering Sciences, Associate professor, Research and methodical director, «AVERS» Ltd Tel. (812) 320-97-75



S. V. Gribovsky
City Authority for Inventory and Real Estate Appraisal, St. Petersburg, Russia
Russian Federation

Doctorate of Economic Sciences, Professor, Deputy General Director, City Authority for Inventory and Real Estate Appraisal Tel. (812) 644-51-46



References

1. Rusakov O.V., Laskin M.B., Jaksumbaeva O.I. Stochastic pricing model for the real estate market: formation of lognormal general population // Ekonomika, statistika i informatika. Vestnik UMO MESI: Nauchno-prakticheskii jurnal. – M.: MESI, №5/2015. – p.116–127.

2. Laskin M.B., Pupentsova S.V. Logarithmically normal distribution of prices for real estate objects // Imuschestvennye otnosheniya v Rossiiskoi Federacii, №5 (15)/2014. – p.52–59

3. Laskin M.B., Rusakov O.V., Dzhaksumbaeva O.I., Ivakina A.A. Special aspects of real estate market pricing in terms of lognormal distribution // Imushestvennye otnosheniya v Rossiiskoi Federacii, №2 (173)/2016. – p.40–50

4. Gribovsky S.V. Real Estate valuation : The manual.– M.: Maroseyka, 2009.

5. Wiiliam G. Cochran. Sampling techniques. – M.: Statistica, 1976

6. Zeldin M.A., Barinov N.P., Abbasov M.E. Confidence interval for the sample mean from a finite population // Real estate market bulletin RWAY, №211 (october 2012), p.168–172 // URL: http://www.appraiser.ru/default.aspx?SectionId=35&Id=3657

7. Zeldin M.A., Barinov N.P., Abbasov M.E. How are distributed in the market prices of homogeneous products // Real estate market bulletin RWAY, №209 (august 2012), p.168– 173 //URL: http://www.appraiser.ru/default.aspx?SectionId = 35&Id=3658


Review

For citations:


Barinov N.P., Gribovsky S.V. On the distribution of prices in market real estate and «offset» estimations of market value. Statistics and Economics. 2016;(5):3-7. (In Russ.) https://doi.org/10.21686/2500-3925-2016-5-3-7

Views: 961


Creative Commons License
This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.


ISSN 2500-3925 (Print)