umovestСтатистика и ЭкономикаStatistics and Economics2500-3925Plekhanov Russian University of Economics10.21686/2500-3925-2017-2-79-85umovest-1079Research ArticleСТАТИСТИКА И МАТЕМАТИЧЕСКИЕ МЕТОДЫ В ЭКОНОМИКЕSTATISTICAL AND MATHEMATICAL METHODS IN ECONOMICSЭмпирическое исследование взаимосвязи между реальным валютным курсом, экспортом и экономическим ростом во ВьетнамеAn empirical study of the relation between real effective exchange rate, export and economic growth in Vietnamhttps://orcid.org/0000-0002-0735-0826ДаоВан ХунгDaoVan Hung

Кандидат экономических наук, доцент, директор Академия Политики и Развития при Министерстве Планирования и Инвестиций, Ханой, Вьетнам Тел: (+84)-903-418-235

Candidate of Economic Science, Associate Professor. Director of the Academy of Policy and Development under the Ministry of planning and investment, Hanoi – Vietnam. 

daohungvan@gmail.comАкадемия Политики и Развития при Министерстве Планирования и ИнвестицийВьетнамAcademy of Policy and Development under the Ministry of planning and investment, Hanoi – Vietnam.Viet Nam201710032017027985Copyright © Дао В., 20172017Дао В.Dao V.Данная работа распространяется под лицензией Creative Commons Attribution 4.0.This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.https://statecon.rea.ru/jour/article/view/1079

В статье рассматриваются качественный и количественный анализ соотношения между реальным эффективным валютным курсом, экспортом и экономическим ростом во Вьетнаме. Результаты качественного анализа показали, что экономический рост, реальный эффективный валютный курс и экспорт во Вьетнаме, как правило, колеблются в одном и том же направлении. Кроме того, результаты оценки VECM показывают, что экономический рост способствует росту экспорта за счет повышения производительности и конкурентных преимуществ продукции и реального валютного курса. Таким образом, экономический рост оказал положительное влияние на экспорт во Вьетнаме.

The article focuses on qualitative and quantitative analysis of the relation between real effective exchange rate, export and economicgrowth in Vietnam. The qualitative analysis results showed that economic growth, real effective exchange rate and export in Vietnam tend to fl uctuate in the same direction. Besides, the estimation result of VECM indicated that economic growth promoted export growth through higher productivity and competitive advantages of products and real exchange rate. Thus, economic growth had a positive impact on export in Vietnam.

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The authors declare that there are no conflicts of interest present.